FEMA
07-13-2010, 08:57 AM
Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)
Significant Weather
NortheastÂ*
Thunderstorms will increase across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Some of the thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic could contain damaging wind gusts and small hail. Downpours will quickly produce localized rainfall over 1 inch.
SouthÂ*
Thunderstorms are forecast from Arkansas and the Tennessee Valley into the Southeast. Rainfall could top 4 inches in some areas, causing flash flooding. Some of the thunderstorms may be severe with damaging wind gusts and small hail, especially across the Carolinas, north Georgia, north Alabama and northeast Mississippi. Highs will range from 5 degrees or so above average bringing near 100 degree temperatures to portions of Texas.
WestÂ*
Gusty winds and an elevated fire danger will linger across Montana and Wyoming Tuesday due to a stationary cold front. The west will be mainly dry with only a few thunderstorms possible across the Four Corner states and in the mountains of central and Southern California. Temperatures will vary from between 5 and 15 degrees below average in the Northwest to between 5 and 10 degrees above average in Colorado and New Mexico. Near-average heat with highs between 100 and 120 is forecast for the Desert Southwest.
Midwest
Two fronts will influence the weather across the Midwest Tuesday. A weakening front in the Ohio Valley will continue to produce thunderstorms; these storms are capable of bringing several inches of rain in a short time, producing flash flooding. A few of the storms could be severe with strong wind gusts. Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornadoes will develop from the Dakotas and northern Nebraska into Minnesota and northwest Iowa bringing the possibility of flash flooding. Michigan to the central Plains will be dry today. Highs will range from 5 to 10 degrees above average for western Kansas bringing near 100 degree temperatures.
(NOAA and media sources)
Flooding on the Rio Grande River, Texas Update
The Rio Grande River reached record flood levels at 11 feet above flood stage at the international Columbia Bridge area and remains at major flood stage levels in Laredo and Rio Grande City, Texas. Rivers and reservoirs are showing a steady decrease of water levels and hot and dry conditions are expected next week. Flood operations are expected to continue at the Amistad and Falcon reservoirs for the next two weeks. FEMA Region VI Regional Response Coordination Center continues to be active at Level III (7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. CDT). The Region is coordinating with the National Weather Service and the Texas Division of Emergency Management. There have been no requests for Federal assistance.
(FEMA Region VI)
Midwest - Des Moines River Basin Flooding
Water continues to recede along the Des Moines, Iowa, Wapsipinicon, and Skunk Rivers in Iowa, the Illinois River in Illinois, and the Mississippi River in Iowa, Illinois and Missouri. The Des Moines River is at major flood stage in Ottumwa, Iowa and it will remain at that level for at least a week due to releases from the Saylorville and Red Rock Reservoirs.
(NOAA)
Mississippi Canyon 252 Update
FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Booming, skimming and in situ burning continues as weather permits. The spill has impacted approximately 553 miles of coastline and the Gulf of Mexico exclusive economic zone closed to commercial and recreational fishing remains approximately 34%. or 81,181 square miles.
(NIC Daily Situation Update)
Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)
No activity.(FEMA HQ)
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and Western and Central Pacific:Â*
No tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific:Â*
There are showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure a few hundred miles southwest of the gulf of Tehuantepec.
Although these storms diminished over the last few hours, upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development and there is a 30 percent chance of it becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. During the next couple of days the system is expected to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph.Â*Â*
Â*(NOAA, JTWC)
Earthquake Activity
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Preliminary Damage Assessments
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update
National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Monday, July 12, 2010:Â*
Initial attack activity: light (168 new fires), new large fires: 3, Large fires contained: 2
Uncontained large fires: 5, U.S. States affected:Â* WA, AK, NM, CO, and ID
(NIFC)
Disaster Declaration Activity
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
More... (http://www.fema.gov/emergency/reports/2010/nat071310.shtm)
Significant Weather
NortheastÂ*
Thunderstorms will increase across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. Some of the thunderstorms in the Mid-Atlantic could contain damaging wind gusts and small hail. Downpours will quickly produce localized rainfall over 1 inch.
SouthÂ*
Thunderstorms are forecast from Arkansas and the Tennessee Valley into the Southeast. Rainfall could top 4 inches in some areas, causing flash flooding. Some of the thunderstorms may be severe with damaging wind gusts and small hail, especially across the Carolinas, north Georgia, north Alabama and northeast Mississippi. Highs will range from 5 degrees or so above average bringing near 100 degree temperatures to portions of Texas.
WestÂ*
Gusty winds and an elevated fire danger will linger across Montana and Wyoming Tuesday due to a stationary cold front. The west will be mainly dry with only a few thunderstorms possible across the Four Corner states and in the mountains of central and Southern California. Temperatures will vary from between 5 and 15 degrees below average in the Northwest to between 5 and 10 degrees above average in Colorado and New Mexico. Near-average heat with highs between 100 and 120 is forecast for the Desert Southwest.
Midwest
Two fronts will influence the weather across the Midwest Tuesday. A weakening front in the Ohio Valley will continue to produce thunderstorms; these storms are capable of bringing several inches of rain in a short time, producing flash flooding. A few of the storms could be severe with strong wind gusts. Severe thunderstorms with damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornadoes will develop from the Dakotas and northern Nebraska into Minnesota and northwest Iowa bringing the possibility of flash flooding. Michigan to the central Plains will be dry today. Highs will range from 5 to 10 degrees above average for western Kansas bringing near 100 degree temperatures.
(NOAA and media sources)
Flooding on the Rio Grande River, Texas Update
The Rio Grande River reached record flood levels at 11 feet above flood stage at the international Columbia Bridge area and remains at major flood stage levels in Laredo and Rio Grande City, Texas. Rivers and reservoirs are showing a steady decrease of water levels and hot and dry conditions are expected next week. Flood operations are expected to continue at the Amistad and Falcon reservoirs for the next two weeks. FEMA Region VI Regional Response Coordination Center continues to be active at Level III (7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. CDT). The Region is coordinating with the National Weather Service and the Texas Division of Emergency Management. There have been no requests for Federal assistance.
(FEMA Region VI)
Midwest - Des Moines River Basin Flooding
Water continues to recede along the Des Moines, Iowa, Wapsipinicon, and Skunk Rivers in Iowa, the Illinois River in Illinois, and the Mississippi River in Iowa, Illinois and Missouri. The Des Moines River is at major flood stage in Ottumwa, Iowa and it will remain at that level for at least a week due to releases from the Saylorville and Red Rock Reservoirs.
(NOAA)
Mississippi Canyon 252 Update
FEMA is providing personnel to the National Integration Center and additional Logistics and External Affairs support to the Federal On-Scene Coordinator. FEMA leads the Social Services and Small Business Interagency Working Group (Claims and Benefits). Booming, skimming and in situ burning continues as weather permits. The spill has impacted approximately 553 miles of coastline and the Gulf of Mexico exclusive economic zone closed to commercial and recreational fishing remains approximately 34%. or 81,181 square miles.
(NIC Daily Situation Update)
Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)
No activity.(FEMA HQ)
Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic, Caribbean Sea, Gulf of Mexico and Western and Central Pacific:Â*
No tropical cyclone activity expected in the next 48 hours.
Eastern Pacific:Â*
There are showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure a few hundred miles southwest of the gulf of Tehuantepec.
Although these storms diminished over the last few hours, upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development and there is a 30 percent chance of it becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. During the next couple of days the system is expected to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph.Â*Â*
Â*(NOAA, JTWC)
Earthquake Activity
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Preliminary Damage Assessments
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update
National Preparedness Level: 2
National Fire Activity as of Monday, July 12, 2010:Â*
Initial attack activity: light (168 new fires), new large fires: 3, Large fires contained: 2
Uncontained large fires: 5, U.S. States affected:Â* WA, AK, NM, CO, and ID
(NIFC)
Disaster Declaration Activity
No new activity (FEMA HQ)
More... (http://www.fema.gov/emergency/reports/2010/nat071310.shtm)