Tuesday, November 22, 2011
 

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather:

West:
Storms will continue to bring precipitation to Washington, Oregon, northern California and as far inland as Montana. One to four feet of snow is forecast for the Cascades with near one foot of snow across northern Idaho. Coastal areas and lower elevations will have rain with up five inches falling in western Washington. The storms will produce strong winds with gusts as high as 55 mph from coastal Oregon to northwest Montana.
Midwest:
A frontal system will continue to produce rain from the Central Plains to the southern Great Lakes and Ohio Valley. Some areas will receive an additional one to two inches of rain and localized flash flooding is possible. Thunderstorms may develop in the Ohio Valley. The Northern Plains will be dry and cold with lows in North Dakota in the teens.
South:
The front will produce rain and thunderstorms across the region. Severe thunderstorms, including gusty winds, hail and tornadoes are forecast from eastern Texas across the lower Mississippi Valley, Gulf Coast and as far north as the Ohio Valley. Some flash flooding is possible in the heaviest downpours. Ahead of the front temperatures will warm and record highs are possible across the Southeast.
Northeast:
The front will produce rain across the Mid-Atlantic, New York and southern New England. As much as two inches of rain could fall from eastern Pennsylvania to Southern New England. Snow and freezing rain are possible in upstate New York and New England by this evening. Tomorrow, the precipitation will be more widespread and New England could pick up a few inches of snow.
Space Weather:

No space weather storms were observed during the past 24 hours and none are predicted.Â*
Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf
Area 1
Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized during the past few hours in association with an area of low pressure located about 900 miles east of Bermuda. This low which continues to produce gale-force winds still has some frontal characteristics and subtropical development appears a little less likely. This system has a medium chance (50 percent) of becoming a subtropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves northeastward at 10 to 15 mph.
Eastern Pacific
Hurricane Kenneth
At 4:00 a.m. EST, the center of Hurricane Kenneth was located about 710 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California. Kenneth is moving toward the west near 12 mph and this motion is expected to continue through tomorrow. A turn toward the west-northwest is anticipated later on tomorrow. Kenneth is a Category Three hurricane and additional strengthening is possible today. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 125 mph with higher gusts. Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 35 miles from the center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 140 miles. Weakening is forecast to begin on Wednesday.
Central/Western Pacific:
No tropical cyclone activity
Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update

No significant activity
Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)


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