Saturday, October 29, 2011

[FEMA]

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

A rare October winter storm for the Mid-Atlantic and northeastern states is taking shape. Winter storm watches and warnings are in effect from northwestern Virginia and extending through much of New England. See www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php for the latest information

Northeast:
A wintry mix of rain and snow expected today from Virginia to New England. Snow will fall higher elevations today, and for most areas tonight. The heaviest snow expected from the mountains of central Pennsylvania into Maine. Gusty winds can be expected tonight across the region. The precipitation in the Mid-Atlantic will end by tonight.
South:
Rain associated with the Mid-Atlantic storm is forecast for the Carolinas. The mountains of North Carolina may see a dusting of snow. A front across South Florida will produce showers and thunderstorms. Behind the front a dry air mass will produce a high fire danger across the Florida Panhandle.
Midwest:
Rain and snow showers are possible near the Great Lakes this morning. Another frontal system will bring rain and gusty winds to the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi Valley.
West:
A cold front will produce rain and mountain snow from the Pacific Northwest to the Northern Rockies. Gusty winds are forecast for portions of the Northern Plains and the mountains and canyons of Southern California.

Red Flag Warnings

Portions of Florida, Alabama, California, Georgia and Missouri active Red Flag Warnings
Space Weather

No space weather storms were observed for the past 24 hours. No space weather storms are predicted for the next 24 hours.
Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic/Caribbean/GulfÂ*
Post-Tropical Cyclone Rina (As of 5 p.m. EDT Oct. 28 - FINAL Advisory)

The center of post-tropical cyclone Rina was located about 75 miles west of the western tip of Cuba and about 110 mi north-northeast of Cozumel, Mexico. Maximum sustained winds 30 mph with present movement east-northeast at 5 mph. A turn toward the southeast is expected on Saturday with a turn toward the south expected on Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph with higher gusts. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that Rina has degenerated into a remnant low pressure area and continued weakening is expected during the next 48 hours.

(Area 1) (As of 2 a.m. EDT)Â*
Showers and thunderstorms over the western Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. There are no signs of organization and further development is not likely to occur. This system has a low chance (10 percent) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours.
(Area 2) (As of 2 a.m. EDT)
Showers and thunderstorms over the Eastern Atlantic about 900 miles west-northwest of the Cape Verde Islands are associated with a surface trough of low pressure interacting with a mid-level low. Surface pressures remain relatively high in the area and this system has a low chance (10 percent) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph.
Eastern PacificÂ*Â*
No tropical cyclone formations at this time.
Central Pacific
No tropical cyclone activity is expected through Sunday evening.
Western Pacific
No tropical cyclone activity.Â*

Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update

The National Wildland Fire Preparedness Level remains at Preparedness Level 1 (Minimal large fire activity nationally.) On Friday, Oct. 28, initial fire attack activity was reported LIGHT with 68 new fires reported on Friday. There was one 1 contained large fire and no new large fires reported.
Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)


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