Wednesday, June 8, 2011

[FEMA]

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Missouri River Basin Flooding

Current situation
The high releases planned by USACE for the six Missouri main stem dams will gradually be increased to maximum capacity around June 15; may cause record flooding at some locations from Gavinâs Point to Kansas City, MO. Flooding along the Missouri River continues to cause areas of concern along the Iowa/Nebraska border.
USACE continues to manage the release of water from multiple reservoirs. Locations for setback levees have been identified in North Dakota. The current dam releases are scheduled as follows:
Fort Peck- 43,000 cfs; 50,000 cfs by mid June
Garrison- 118,300 cfs; 150,000 cfs by mid June
Oahe- 137,600 cfs; 150,000 cfs by mid June
Big Bend- 128,200 cfs; 150,000 cfs by mid June
Fort Randall- 121,600 cfs; 150,000 cfs by mid June
Gavins Point- 115,500 cfs; 150,000 cfs by mid-June

Missouri River FloodingÂ*
South Dakota
Flood Warning continues for James and Missouri rivers. Impacts are primarily in eastern portions of the State - washed-out roads, culverts and damaged bridges. Approximately 855 residents in Pierre, 613 in Ft Pierre, and 1,631 residents in Dakota Dunes have voluntarily evacuated (total population in excess of 18,000). Sand bagging of all critical infrastructures continues. There are 3 shelters open with 13 occupants.
North Dakota
The City of Minot issued a mandatory evacuation; approximately 10,000-12,000 evacuated (some individuals have been allowed to return but may have to evacuate again on short notice. Voluntary evacuations are in effect for portions of Burleigh and Morton counties (population is 601). Four shelters remain open with 80 occupants.
Montana
Flood Warnings continue for urban areas and small streams. No mandatory evacuations are in effect; however, 40 Fort Peck Tribe families were asked to evacuate due to opening of Fort Peck Spillway on June 1 The Governor declared a State of Emergency on May 19. One shelter is open with 43 occupants.
Nebraska
No significant damages have been reported; flooding is confined to low-lying agricultural lands and rural roads. The North Platte River is at major flood of 7.65 ft; forecast to reach 7.7 ft on June 11. Seven counties have declared a local declaration of emergency. Evacuations remain in effect for Dixon County (less than 200 residents). Numerous roads remain closed across the State. Two shelters are open with 9 occupants.
Mississippi Valley Flooding

USACE continues to monitor water levels throughout the Mississippi River and Tributary System, providing flood fighting measures as needed. The crest of the Mississippi River has subsided due to the opening of the Bonnet Carre Spillway which currently has 330/350 bays open, and the Morganza Floodway which currently has 5/125 bays open. Bays will continue to be closed as flows on the main stem Mississippi River dictate. The Morganza Floodway is projected to close once the river level reaches the sill elevation of the floodway. Full closure of the floodway is currently projected between the 9th and 10th, but is contingent on the river level continuing to decline. The Bonnet Carre will remain open thru at least the end of the month based upon current levels in the system
Louisiana
Voluntary evacuations remain in effect for portions of St. Landry Parish.

Significant National Weather

Midwest
Severe thunderstorms are forecast from Michigan to northeast Kansas this evening. Strong winds, hail and heavy rain are possible in these areas. A slow moving cold front will progress from the Central Plains this morning and extend from Kansas to Wisconsin producing temperatures as much as 15 degrees below average with unseasonably cool temperatures stretching from the Dakotas to northwest Minnesota. Ahead of this front, temperatures above 90 degrees will be common throughout the Ohio Valley.

West
Showers and thunderstorms are forecast across portions of the northern Rockies. Rain accumulations could exceed 1 inch. The potential exists for severe storms from the Idaho/Utah border to southern Wyoming and Colorado. This system may produce strong winds and hail.

Northeast
A high pressure system will produce hot and humid conditions for much of the Northeast today. Temperatures 10 to 20 degrees above average are forecast across the region with most of the highs in the 90s. Severe thunderstorms are possible across New York and New England. Damaging wind and hail are possible.

South
Temperatures up to 15 degrees above average are forecast across the region with highs in the 90s and 100s across the southern Plains. Thunderstorms
Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)

Arizona
Wallow Fire - FEMA-2915-FM-AZÂ*
Fire began on May 29, 2011 in the Apache-Sitgreaves National Forests, approximately 12 miles SW of Alpine, AZ.Â*
Currently 311,000 acres, with 0% containment (no estimated containment date)
One shelter is open in Lakeside, AZ, with 6 occupants overnight.Â* The total capacity is 300.
Mandatory evacuations are currently in effect for the communities of Greer, Sunrise Park Resort, South Fork, Alpine, Nutrioso, and Blue River (approximately 5,000 residents).
2,515 personnel assigned.
343 structures are threatened; 10 destroyed.Â*
A high-tension power line that provides power to Tucson is threatened.

Alaska
East Volkmar Fire
Located on state land burning approximately 25 miles northeast of Delta Junction, the fire has consumed approximately 46,880 acres of State and private land with 6% containment. Estimated containment date is June 22.
Hasting Fire
Located on state land burning approximately 15 miles northwest of Fairbanks, the fire has consumed approximately 12,770 acres with 8% containment. Evacuation advisories were issued for the Hayes Creek Subdivision.Â* Fire fighters are utilizing air assets and dozers are constructing contingency dozer lines.
Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of MexicoÂ*
Area 1 (94L)
An elongated area of low pressure area extending from the northwestern to the north central Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Upper-level winds are not favorable for development, and there is a low chance (10 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 48 hours.
Eastern / Central Pacific
Tropical Storm AdrianÂ*

At 8:00 p.m. PDT, the center of Tropical Storm Adrian was located about 355 miles south of Acapulco Mexico. Adrian is moving toward the west-northwest near 3 mph and a slow motion toward the northwest or north-northwest is expected for the next couple of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 45 mph, with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is likely and Adrian could become a hurricane tomorrow.

Western / South Pacific:
No Activity.

Wildfire Update

Tuesday, June 7, 2011:
National Preparedness Level: 3
Initial attack activity: Moderate (232 new fires)
New Large Fires: 11
Large Fires Contained: 7
Uncontained Large Fires: 23
Type 1 IMT Committed: 5
Type 2 IMT Committed: 7
States affected: AZ, NM, GA, NC, TX, MS, FL and AK.
Disaster Declaration Activity

Minnesota
The President has declared FEMA-1990-DR for the State of Minnesota dated June 7, 2011.Â* This declaration is for Severe Storms and Tornadoes for the period of 21-22 May 2011.Â* Public Assistance is approved for Anoka and Hennepin Counties and Hazard Mitigation has been approved for all counties.
IllinoisÂ*
The President has declared FEMA-1991-DR for the State of Illinois dated June 7, 2011.Â* This declaration is for Severe Storms and Flooding for the period April 19, 2011, and April 22 to May 2, 2011, and flooding resulting from those storms beginning on April 19, 2011, and continuing.Â* Individual Assistance is approved for Alexander, Franklin, Gallatin, Hardin, Jackson, Lawrence, Massac, Perry, Pope, Pulaski, Randolph, Saline, White and Williamson Counties and Hazard Mitigation has been approved for all counties.
On June 6, 2011, the Governor requested an amendment to FEMA-1991-DR adding 21 counties for Public Assistance.
Tennessee
Amendment #4 to Major Disaster Declaration for FEMA-1974-DR-TN was received on June 7, 2011. The amendment adds Jefferson and Marion Counties for Public Assistance.
North DakotaÂ*
Amendment No. 2 to FEMA-1981-DR-ND was received on June 7, 2011. The amendment adds Billings and Divide Counties for Public Assistance.

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