Tuesday, June 21, 2011

[FEMA]

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Flash Flooding in Kentucky

Heavy rains the early morning of 20June created as much as 6 inches of rain across parts of southeast Kentucky. This resulted in flash flooding across portions of Knox, Whitley, Bell, and other nearby counties. There has been one reported fatality; one person injured and one person missing. There are currently 3,170 customers without power. There are two American Red Cross shelters open: one in Knox County with two occupants and one in Bell County with six occupants.
In Perry County, a possible silt pond breach at Lost Creek was reported; homes have been evacuated. Six counties (Written: Lee, Perry, Knott, Knox, and Breathitt) and one city (Middlesboro) have declared State of Emergency.
The most significant damage is in Middlesboro (Bell County) where forty to forty-five businesses have water damage; two hotels closed; five restaurants (total loss), one large grocery store (total loss); four convenient stores have several feet of standing water. Three trailer parks have been destroyed; the rescue squad is flooded; the city garage is completely under water - to include all of the trucks and other equipment. One 60 x 40 bridge was destroyed; the Generations Assisted Living Facility had some water inside and the Health Department responded to oversee removal and cleaning operations. The main sewage pump station is out of commission and the Kentucky Division of Water is on site. There are three feet of water in a school. Some 200 to 225 homes have incurred water damage in the city and 100 homes in the county have incurred water damage. Portions of railroad tracks have been washed away as well as three railroad bridges; all train service has been stopped.

Missouri River Basin Flooding Summary

Mandatory Flooding Evacuations â City of Minot, ND (Ward County)
Due to heavy rainfall releases from Lake Darling (ND) need to be increased, which may result in severe flooding in the City of Minot (Ward County) and rural areas. Current release levels at Lake Darling are at 9,000 cfs, and this will be increasing to 16,000 - 17,000 cfs on Wednesday, June 22. The high flows in to the Mouse (Souris) River in Minot can be expected to begin by Thursday, June 23. The current reading of the Mouse (Souris) River at 4:00 p.m. CDT on 20 June was 1553.29 feet and the new projected crest, due to the higher releases, is expected to reach 1,563.0 feet on June 26 or 27. This crest will be higher than the 1969 flood (1,555.4 feet) and 7-8 feet higher than the 1881 flood (1,558.0 feet).
A mandatory evacuation has been ordered for all residents in the original evacuation zones. All residents in the original evacuation zones 1-9, need to be out of their homes by 10:00 p.m. CDT on June 22, with the possibility of additional areas being added to this evacuation order. One shelter has opened at the Burlington School. The population of Ward County is 61,675 per 2010 census. No Federal requests have been received as a result of this situation at this time.
Nebraska:
Multiple levees were overtopped this weekend along the Missouri River. On June 19, 2011, Federal Levee - R548, located south of Brownville, NE, overtopped. Water levels at the Brownville gage increased approximately 2 feet in 24 hours and contributed to water going over a 30 foot stretch on the southern portion of the levee system.
Illinois: Another federal levee overtopped in Scott County along the Illinois River. Flash flooding caused overtopping on the upper flank due to heavy rains in Jacksonville, IL, upstream on the Mauvaise Terre Creek. There were three breaches in the levee totaling 300 feet. Due to location and size of the breaches, there is not much that can be done to stop the flow. Estimates indicate that flows will stop entering the levee district within 12-24 hours. This levee district is mostly agricultural, but there are some homeowners within the district and they have been notified.
Missouri/Nebraska state line:
The Brownville Bridge on US 136 at the Missouri/Nebraska state line is closed due to flooding caused by the overtopped levee (Missouri River). There are closures around Holt County and I-29 on levee unit I-550 located at the Upper Sonora bend of the Missouri River
Interstate 29 remains closed along parts of northwest Missouri and southeast Iowa.
Significant National Weather

West:
Under high pressure the region will be generally dry. A warming trend will contribute to melt-out of the western snowpack. There will be significant rises on Western rivers and their tributaries.
Low relative humidity and long term drought will produce high fire danger across the Southwest.
Midwest:
A deep low pressure system over the Central Plains will produce widespread precipitation from the Lower Mississippi Valley, across the Central and Northern Plains and the Great Lakes. Moisture from the Gulf of Mexico will flow northward over the Plains and Mississippi Valley and into the Ohio Valley interacting with the cold front extending southward from the low. This will produce showers, thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms (including damaging wind gusts, large hail and tornadoes) from Texas to the Great Lakes. Heavy precipitation (more than 3 inches) will produce Flash Flooding in the Northern Plains and Upper Mississippi Valley - exacerbating ongoing flooding.
South:
The cold front extending from the low over the Central Plains will interact with Gulf Coast moisture to produce showers, thunderstorms and severe thunderstorms across much of the Gulf Coast. The Southeast will hot with many areas in excess of 100 degrees. Eastern Georgia and much of South Carolina will have heat index values in the 105 to 110 range. Low relative humidity and long term drought will produce high fire danger across the Southern Plains.
Northeast
Showers and thunderstorms will develop over portions of the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast late tonight into Wednesday as a warm front moves northward.
Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic / Caribbean / Gulf of Mexico
No activity expected within the next 48 hours.
Eastern / Central Pacific
Hurricane Beatriz (Category One) is located about 15 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico. Beatriz is moving toward the NNW near 12 mph; maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph with higher gusts. A turn toward the NW is expected later today with a gradual turn toward the WNW expected tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Beatriz should pass near or over Manzanillo and Cabo Corrientes later today. Some additional strengthening is possible this morning while the center is over water with weakening forecast tonight and Wednesday. Hurricane Force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and Tropical Storm Force winds extend outward up to 105 miles.

Western / South Pacific:
No activity affecting U.S. territories.
Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update

Monday, June 20, 2011:
National Preparedness Level: 3
Initial attack activity: Light (154 new fires)
New Large Fires: 9
Large Fires Contained: 2
Uncontained Large Fires: 41
Type 1 IMT Committed: 5
Type 2 IMT Committed: 10
States affected: AZ, NM, GA, NC, FL, OK, AR, TX, CA, AK and CO.
Wildfires
Arizona and New Mexico
Wallow Fire â FEMA 2915-FM-AZ (Apache, Navajo, Graham & Greenlee Counties); FEMA-2917-FM-NM (Catron County)
The fire has consumed 519,319 acres (increased by 10,709 acres) and is 56% contained. Evacuations remain in effect in Sunrise, Greer, and Blue River, AZ. A precautionary evacuation remains in effect for Luna, NM. A pre-evacuation alert remain in effect in Apache County, AZ for Greens Peak, Hidden Meadows Lodge and the surrounding areas. There are multiple highways and road closures in the fire area.
Monument Fire â FEMA-2919-FM-AZ (Cochise County, AZ)
The fire is located within 5 miles of Sierra Vista (Pop. 3,700). The fire has consumed 26,980 acres; 27% containment. There are 3 shelters open with no occupants.
Horseshoe 2 Fire â FEMA-2907-FM-AZ (Cochise County, NM)
The fire has consumed 223,214 acres and is 90% contained; full containment is expected on June 22.
Alaska
Hasting Fire
The fire is located on state land and is burning approximately 15 miles northwest of Fairbanks, AK. The fire has consumed 22,819 acres with 61% containment; expected containment is unknown. A Temporary Flight Restriction (TFR) remains in place for pilots operating in the Fairbanks airspace surrounding the Hastings Fire.
Colorado
Duckett Fire â FEMA-2923-FM-CO (Westcliffe, CO)
The fire has consumed 4,358 acres (increase of 5 acres) and is 75% contained. Evacuations have been lifted for the Eagle Peak and Brush Creek Subdivisions, and Maytag Ranch.Â*
Georgia
Honey Prairie Complex Fires â FEMA-2920-FM-GA (Racepond, Honey Prairie, Paxton Road and Durdin Prairie Fires)
Fires are burning near the Okefenokee National Wildlife Refuge, 5 miles northeast of Fargo, GA. The fire has consumed 251,570 acres with 60% containment.
Sweat Farm Again Fire â FEMA-2921-FM-GA
The fire has consumed 19,725 acres with 35% containment. Â*
Fire Management Assistance Grant (FMAG)
Texas:
On June 21, 2011, a FMAG was approved for the White Hat Fire in Maryneal (Nolan County), Texas. 17,000 acres burned; unknown percentage contained. Approximately 150 homes in Maryneal threatened; 160 residents evacuated. The fire is 1 mile from Maryneal (pop 181) and 8 miles west of Blackwell (pop 360).

On June 20, 2011 a FMAG was approved for the Boyken Road Fire in Big Spring (Howard County), Texas. 1,200 acres burned; unknown percentage contained. Approximately 200 homes in Big Spring, threatened; 100 residents evacuated. The fire is near the city limits of Big Spring (pop 25,000).

Disaster Declaration Activity

On June 18, 2011, the Governor requested a Major Disaster Declaration for the State of Iowa as a result of flooding beginning May 25, 2011, and continuing. The Governor is specifically requesting Public Assistance (Categories A and B), including direct Federal assistance for six counties, and Hazard Mitigation statewide.
FEMA-1968-DR-CA; Amendment # 1, effective June 20, 2011, adds Monterey County for Public Assistance.
FEMA-1995-DR-VT; Amendment # 1, effective June 20, 2011, adds Washington County for Public Assistance.
FEMA-1976-DR-KY; Amendment # 12, effective June 20, 2011, adds Floyd County for Individual Assistance and Marion County for Public Assistance, including both counties for direct Federal assistance.
FEMA-1983-DR-MS; Amendment #1, effective June 17, 2011, amends the notice of a Major Disaster Declaration to close the incident period for this disaster.
FEMA-3320-EM-MS; Amendment #4, effective June 17, 2011, amends the notice of an Emergency Declaration to close the incident period for this disaster.
FEMA-1991-DR-IL; Amendment #2, effective June 14, 2011, amends the notice of a Major Disaster Declaration to close the incident period for this disaster.

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