Tuesday, October 4, 2011

[FEMA]

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Significant National Weather

West:
Another strong storm system is moving ashore along the West Coast. This system will produce light to heavy rain and mountain snow in central California through Wednesday. Six to 12 inches of snow is expected above 7,000 feet. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue across the Intermountain West through this evening.
Midwest:
Most of the Region will be under a high pressure system and will remain dry and warm throughout the day. Above average temperatures are expected over the North Central portions of the U.S. Warm temperatures, strong winds and low relative humidity will increase the fire danger risks across the central U.S. Red Flag Warnings are in effect through this evening across portions of South Dakota, Minnesota, Kansas, and Iowa.
Northeast:
An upper level low will continue to produce light rain across portions of the Mid-Atlantic and New England this morning. Clearer skies and warmer temperatures will return to the Mid-Atlantic and Upper Ohio Valley by this afternoon, but cooler air temperatures will move back into New England tomorrow.Â*
South:
A stalled frontal boundary system continues to produce showers and thunderstorms across southern Florida. Warm afternoon temperatures and low relative humidity in the Panhandle of Florida will increase the risk of fire danger. Red Flag Warnings are in effect through this evening.
Tropical Activity

Atlantic/Caribbean/Gulf of Mexico
Tropical Storm Philippe
As of 5 a.m. EDT, Tropical Storm Philippe is located about 720 miles southeast of Bermuda moving west at 10 mph. Maximum sustained winds are 65 mph with higher gusts. A turn toward the northwest and decrease in forward speed is expected on Wednesday. Some strengthening is possible within the next 48 hours and could become a hurricane on Wednesday.
Eastern Pacific
As of 2 a.m. EDT, Showers and thunderstorms associated with a weak area of low pressure located about 600 miles southwest of Manzanillo Mexico. This system has become better organized over the past several hours. This systemâs development is expected to be slow to occur as it moves westward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days. System has a low chance (20%) of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours. Elsewhere, tropical cyclone formation is not expected.
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Central Pacific
No tropical cyclones expected through Wednesday evening.
Western Pacific
There are no tropical cyclones threatening U.S. territories.

Tropical Weather Outlook

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update

Monday, October 3, 2011:
National Preparedness Level: 2
Initial attack activity: Light (97 new fires)
New Large Fires: 5
Large Fires Contained: 6
Uncontained Large Fires: 19
States Affected: Texas, Nevada, Minnesota, Utah, Wyoming, Idaho, Oregon, California, Montana, and Arizona.
FMAG Activity
Indian Creek Fire â (Elko County, Nevada)
On Oct. 3, 2011, the State of Nevada requested a fire management assistance declaration for the Indian Creek Fire burning in Elko County. The Stateâs request was approved on Oct. 3, 2011, at 10:57 PM EST. The fire began on Sept. 30, 2011, and has consumed in excess of 75,000 acres of State and private land, containment percentage is unknown. The fire was threatening 150 homes & 3 hunting lodges in and around Tuscarora, Nevada. Mandatory evacuations are taking place for approximately 850 residents. The entire town of Tuscarora is in eminent threat of total destruction. Two shelters are open with unknown occupants.

Disaster Declaration Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)


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