Friday, August 5, 2011

[FEMA]

Homeland Security Threat Level: YELLOW (ELEVATED)

Tropical Activity

Atlantic / Caribbean /Gulf of Mexico
Remnants of Tropical Storm Emily
As of 5:00 a.m. EDT, Aug 5, the remnants of Tropical Storm Emily is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms stretching from Jamaica northeastward towards the southeastern Bahamas. There are no signs of closed circulation at this time. Upper-level winds are expected to be only marginally conducive for re-development today. Conditions are expected to become more favorable for redevelopment by Saturday. There is a high chance (60 percent) of this system becoming a tropical cyclone again during the next 48 hours.Â*Â*
Puerto Rico
Â*As of 3:00 p.m., Aug 4, approximately 5,400 customers were without power, and approximately 625 customers were without water service due to the lack of electricity. The San Juan Port and Airport are both operational. There is currently 1 shelter open with a total of 15 occupants.
Eastern Pacific
Hurricane Eugene
At 5:00 a.m. EDT, Aug 5, Eugene was located about 885 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of Baja California.Â* Eugene is moving toward the west-northwest near 13 mph and this general motion is expected to continue over the next couple of days.Â* Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph with higher gusts. Eugene is a Category One Hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.Â* Eugene is expected to weaken to a tropical storm and become a remnant low on Sunday.Â* Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 30 miles, and Tropical Storm force winds extend outward up to 105 miles.
Area 1
A weak area of low pressure centered about 175 miles south-southeast of Manzanillo Mexico continues to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico.
Environmental conditions are not conducive for development and this system has a low chance near zero percent of becoming a tropical cyclone during the next 48 hours as it moves west- northwestward near 10 mph.

Central Pacific: No tropical cyclones are expected through Saturday evening
Western Pacific
At 5:00 a.m. EDT Aug 5, Super Typhoon 11W (Muifa) was located approximately 52 miles southeast of Okinawa.Â* The storm is moving west at 8 mph. Muifa is expected to turn slightly to the northwest with little change in speed over the next 24 hours. Maximum sustained winds are near 90 mph with higher gusts. Typhoon Muifa is expected to intensify over the next 48 hours and will then begin to weaken as it interacts with land along the east coast of China.Â*
Missouri River Basin Flooding

There have been no new breaches/overtopping in Region VII since July 11, 2011.
Significant National Weather

Major Heat Wave Continues
Excessive Heat Warnings, Watches, and Advisories remain in effect across the Southern Plains and the Deep South.Â* For the latest information see: http://www.weather.gov/largemap.phpÂ*
South
Rain and thunderstorms will continue for portions of the Southeast with isolated storms possible in southern Appalachians. The primary threats will include heavy rainfall and strong winds. Southern Plain state heat indices are forecast to reach 110 degrees.
Midwest
Rain and thunderstorms are forecast for the Northern and Central Plains. The potential exists for flash flooding tonight into Saturday for Montana, North Dakota and South Dakota. The primary threats will include strong winds and hail.
Northeast
Dry conditions are expected for much of the Northeast. Isolated thunderstorms are possible over West Virginia and Virginia.
West
Scattered thunderstorms and strong winds are forecast for parts of the Rockies and High Plains.
National Fire Activity

Thursday, August 4, 2011:
National Preparedness Level:Â* 2
Initial attack activity:Â* LIGHT (191 new fires)
New Large Fires:Â* 11
Large Fires Contained:Â* 5
Uncontained Large Fires:Â* 17
Type 1 IMT Committed:Â* 0
Type 2 IMT Committed:Â* 3
States affected:Â* GA, FL, TX, AR, OK, ID, OR, NM, CA WY, & NV.
Tropical Weather Outlook

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Earthquake Activity

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Preliminary Damage Assessments

No new activity (FEMA HQ)
Wildfire Update

Oklahoma
The State EOC remains activated at Level III.
Coffee Creek Fire, OK â FEMA-2933-FM-OK (approved Aug 4, 2011)
The fire has consumed 120 acres and is 0% contained. The fire is threatening approximately145 homes located in Edmond, Oklahoma. Voluntary evacuations have taken place for approximately 50 to 60 people. One shelter is open with an unknown number of occupants.Â*Â*Â*
Disaster Declaration Activity

Arizona
Amendment No. 1 to Major Disaster Declaration FEMA-1950-DR
The amendment adjusts the cost share to 90 percent of total eligible costs for the Sovereign Tribal Nation of the Havasupai Tribe. The cost share adjustment applies only to Public Assistance costs and direct Federal assistance.
North Dakota
Amendment No. 8 to Major Disaster Declaration FEMA-1981-DR
The amendment adds Sioux County and the Standing Rock Indian Reservation for Public Assistance.
Amendment No. 9 to Major Disaster Declaration FEMA-1981-DR
The amendment adds Benson County for Individual Assistance (already designated for Public Assistance.
Louisiana
On Aug 3, 2011, a request was received for a Major Disaster Declaration for the State of Louisiana, for flooding that occurred April 25 to July 7, 2011. Public Assistance for 22 parishes and Hazard Mitigation were requested statewide.


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